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　　三九養(yǎng)生堂記者 鄧肯·蓋伊 報道

精彩|　　陳??(chen)光??(guang)華??(hua)指??(zhi)出??(chu)??，關(guān)?(guan)于??(yu)接??(jie)下??(xia)來??(lai)的??(de)市??(shi)場??(chang)走??(zou)勢?(shi)??，近??(jin)期?(qi)農(nóng)??(nong)業(yè)??(ye)農(nóng)??(nong)村??(cun)部??(bu)組??(zu)織??(zhi)專??(zhuan)家?(jia)、行??(xing)業(yè)??(ye)協(xié)??(xie)會??(hui)和??(he)重?(zhong)點??(dian)企??(qi)業(yè)??(ye)進(jìn)??(jin)行??(xing)了?(le)專??(zhuan)題??(ti)會??(hui)商?(shang)??。??大?(da)家??(jia)認(rèn)??(ren)為??(wei)??，當(dāng)??(dang)前??(qian)和??(he)今??(jin)后??(hou)一??(yi)個??(ge)時??(shi)期?(qi)??，生??(sheng)豬??(zhu)生??(sheng)產(chǎn)??(chan)仍??(reng)在??(zai)慣??(guan)性??(xing)增??(zeng)長??(chang)??，后??(hou)市??(shi)供??(gong)應(yīng)??(ying)將?(jiang)穩(wěn)??(wen)定?(ding)增??(zeng)加??(jia)??，四??(si)季??(ji)度??(du)是??(shi)消??(xiao)費??(fei)旺??(wang)季??(ji)??，豬??(zhu)價?(jia)可??(ke)能??(neng)會??(hui)回?(hui)升?(sheng)??，但??(dan)缺??(que)乏??(fa)大??(da)幅??(fu)上??(shang)漲?(zhang)的??(de)基??(ji)礎(chǔ)??(chu)??。從??(cong)中?(zhong)大??(da)豬??(zhu)數(shù)??(shu)量??(liang)看??(kan)??，9月??(yue)份??(fen)??，全?(quan)國??(guo)規(guī)??(gui)模??(mo)豬??(zhu)場??(chang)的??(de)中??(zhong)大??(da)豬??(zhu)存??(cun)欄??(lan)量??(liang)同??(tong)比??(bi)增??(zeng)長??(chang)6.3%、環(huán)??(huan)比??(bi)增??(zeng)長??(chang)2.4%??，這??(zhe)些??(xie)中??(zhong)大??(da)豬??(zhu)將??(jiang)在??(zai)未??(wei)來??(lai)2個??(ge)月??(yue)內(nèi)??(nei)陸??(lu)續(xù)??(xu)出??(chu)欄??(lan)??，預(yù)??(yu)示??(shi)著??(zhe)11月??(yue)份??(fen)前??(qian)后??(hou)生??(sheng)豬??(zhu)市??(shi)場??(chang)供??(gong)應(yīng)??(ying)將??(jiang)持??(chi)續(xù)??(xu)增??(zeng)加?(jia)??。從??(cong)新??(xin)生??(sheng)仔??(zai)豬??(zhu)數(shù)??(shu)量??(liang)看??(kan)??，今??(jin)年??(nian)4—9月??(yue)份??(fen)全??(quan)國??(guo)新??(xin)生??(sheng)仔??(zai)豬??(zhu)量??(liang)同??(tong)比??(bi)增??(zeng)長??(chang)5.9%??，這??(zhe)些??(xie)仔??(zai)豬??(zhu)將??(jiang)在??(zai)未??(wei)來??(lai)6個??(ge)月??(yue)內(nèi)?(nei)將??(jiang)陸??(lu)續(xù)?(xu)出??(chu)欄??(lan)??，預(yù)??(yu)示??(shi)著??(zhe)從??(cong)現(xiàn)??(xian)在??(zai)開??(kai)始??(shi)的??(de)半??(ban)年??(nian)內(nèi)??(nei)(包??(bao)括??(kuo)元??(yuan)旦??(dan)春?(chun)節(jié)?(jie))豬??(zhu)肉??(rou)市??(shi)場?(chang)供??(gong)應(yīng)??(ying)較??(jiao)為??(wei)充??(chong)足?(zu)??。在??(zai)此??(ci)提??(ti)醒??(xing)廣??(guang)大??(da)養(yǎng)??(yang)殖??(zhi)場??(chang)戶??(hu)??，明??(ming)年?(nian)春??(chun)節(jié)??(jie)后??(hou)可??(ke)能??(neng)出??(chu)現(xiàn)??(xian)消??(xiao)費??(fei)淡??(dan)季??(ji)與??(yu)生??(sheng)豬??(zhu)出??(chu)欄??(lan)量??(liang)增??(zeng)加??(jia)“兩?(liang)碰??(peng)頭??(tou)”??，養(yǎng)?(yang)豬??(zhu)虧??(kui)損??(sun)程??(cheng)度??(du)甚??(shen)至??(zhi)可??(ke)能??(neng)重??(zhong)于??(yu)今?(jin)年??(nian)同??(tong)期??(qi)??，希??(xi)望??(wang)大??(da)家??(jia)做??(zuo)好??(hao)生??(sheng)產(chǎn)??(chan)安??(an)排?(pai)??，合??(he)理??(li)調(diào)?(tiao)整??(zheng)生?(sheng)產(chǎn)??(chan)節(jié)??(jie)奏??(zou)??，順??(shun)時??(shi)順??(shun)勢??(shi)出??(chu)欄??(lan)生??(sheng)豬??(zhu)??。　　陳??(chen)光??(guang)華??(hua)介?(jie)紹??(shao)??，針??(zhen)對??(dui)生??(sheng)豬??(zhu)產(chǎn)??(chan)能??(neng)偏??(pian)高??(gao)、養(yǎng)??(yang)殖??(zhi)虧??(kui)損??(sun)的??(de)問??(wen)題??(ti)??，我??(wo)們??(men)按??(an)照??(zhao)生?(sheng)豬??(zhu)產(chǎn)??(chan)能??(neng)調(diào)??(tiao)控??(kong)方??(fang)案??(an)要??(yao)求??(qiu)??，及??(ji)時??(shi)啟??(qi)動??(dong)預(yù)??(yu)警??(jing)調(diào)??(tiao)控??(kong)措??(cuo)施??(shi)??，分??(fen)析?(xi)闡??(chan)明??(ming)生??(sheng)豬??(zhu)供??(gong)應(yīng)??(ying)出??(chu)現(xiàn)??(xian)階??(jie)段??(duan)性??(xing)過??(guo)剩??(sheng)原??(yuan)因??(yin)??，引??(yin)導(dǎo)??(dao)養(yǎng)??(yang)殖??(zhi)場??(chang)戶??(hu)合??(he)理??(li)調(diào)??(tiao)減??(jian)產(chǎn)??(chan)能??(neng)??，督??(du)促??(cu)各??(ge)地??(di)穩(wěn)??(wen)定??(ding)用??(yong)地??(di)、環(huán)??(huan)保??(bao)、金??(jin)融?(rong)等??(deng)基??(ji)礎(chǔ)??(chu)性??(xing)政??(zheng)策??(ce)??，在?(zai)養(yǎng)??(yang)殖?(zhi)虧??(kui)損?(sun)期??(qi)間?(jian)采??(cai)取??(qu)補??(bu)貼?(tie)、信??(xin)貸??(dai)、貼??(tie)息??(xi)等??(deng)措??(cuo)施??(shi)??，穩(wěn)??(wen)定??(ding)生??(sheng)豬??(zhu)生?(sheng)產(chǎn)??(chan)??。??豬??(zhu)價??(jia)高??(gao)低??(di)和??(he)養(yǎng)??(yang)殖??(zhi)盈??(ying)虧??(kui)是??(shi)反??(fan)映??(ying)供??(gong)應(yīng)??(ying)多??(duo)少??(shao)最??(zui)直??(zhi)接?(jie)的??(de)依??(yi)據(jù)??(ju)??，今??(jin)年??(nian)以??(yi)來??(lai)??，養(yǎng)??(yang)殖??(zhi)場??(chang)戶??(hu)根??(gen)據(jù)??(ju)產(chǎn)??(chan)銷??(xiao)形??(xing)勢??(shi)新??(xin)變??(bian)化??(hua)??，適??(shi)應(yīng)??(ying)性??(xing)調(diào)??(tiao)減??(jian)產(chǎn)??(chan)能??(neng)??，順??(shun)勢??(shi)順??(shun)時??(shi)出??(chu)欄??(lan)肥??(fei)豬?(zhu)??，促??(cu)進(jìn)??(jin)了??(le)豬?(zhu)肉??(rou)供??(gong)需??(xu)逐??(zhu)步??(bu)回??(hui)歸??(gui)均??(jun)衡??(heng)??。

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