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　　其??(qi)二?(er)??，懲?(cheng)罰??(fa)性??(xing)關(guān)??(guan)稅??(shui)政??(zheng)策??(ce)將??(jiang)導(dǎo)??(dao)致??(zhi)全??(quan)球??(qiu)貿(mào)??(mao)易?(yi)成??(cheng)本??(ben)上??(shang)升??(sheng)??，迫??(po)使??(shi)石??(shi)油??(you)貿(mào)??(mao)易??(yi)改?(gai)道??(dao)??，進(jìn)??(jin)一??(yi)步??(bu)加??(jia)劇??(ju)了??(le)國??(guo)際??(ji)油??(you)價(jià)?(jia)的??(de)不??(bu)確??(que)定??(ding)性??(xing)??。??美??(mei)國??(guo)對(duì)??(dui)進(jìn)??(jin)口??(kou)鋼??(gang)鐵??(tie)和??(he)鋁??(lv)加??(jia)征??(zheng)關(guān)??(guan)稅??(shui)??，增??(zeng)加??(jia)國??(guo)內(nèi)??(nei)石??(shi)油??(you)開?(kai)采??(cai)和??(he)運(yùn)??(yun)輸??(shu)的??(de)成??(cheng)本??(ben)??，間??(jian)接?(jie)推??(tui)高??(gao)油??(you)價(jià)??(jia)??。同?(tong)時(shí)??(shi)??，貿(mào)??(mao)易?(yi)摩??(mo)擦??(ca)導(dǎo)??(dao)致??(zhi)的??(de)全??(quan)球??(qiu)經(jīng)??(jing)濟(jì)??(ji)放??(fang)緩??(huan)預(yù)??(yu)期??(qi)??，又??(you)對(duì)??(dui)油??(you)價(jià)??(jia)形??(xing)成?(cheng)了??(le)下??(xia)行??(xing)壓??(ya)力??(li)??。這??(zhe)種??(zhong)復(fù)??(fu)雜??(za)的??(de)相??(xiang)互??(hu)作??(zuo)用??(yong)使??(shi)得??(de)國??(guo)際??(ji)油??(you)價(jià)??(jia)的?(de)波??(bo)動(dòng)??(dong)更?(geng)加?(jia)難??(nan)以??(yi)預(yù)??(yu)測(cè)??(ce)??。。