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學(xué)習(xí)快評丨qibao666888　　可?(ke)見??(jian)??，從??(cong)技??(ji)術(shù)??(shu)面??(mian)分??(fen)析??(xi)國??(guo)際??(ji)油?(you)價?(jia)短?(duan)期??(qi)走??(zou)勢??(shi)是??(shi)向??(xiang)下??(xia)探??(tan)底??(di)??。??很??(hen)多??(duo)人??(ren)運??(yun)用?(yong)AI技??(ji)術(shù)??(shu)模??(mo)型?(xing)也??(ye)得??(de)到??(dao)相??(xiang)同??(tong)的??(de)結(jié)??(jie)論??(lun)??，即??(ji)短??(duan)期??(qi)內(nèi)??(nei)看??(kan)跌??(die)??。一??(yi)些??(xie)重??(zhong)要??(yao)投?(tou)行??(xing)也??(ye)給??(gei)出??(chu)了??(le)油??(you)價??(jia)在??(zai)每??(mei)桶??(tong)60美??(mei)元?(yuan)至??(zhi)80美??(mei)元??(yuan)之??(zhi)間??(jian)波??(bo)動?(dong)的??(de)預(yù)??(yu)測??(ce)??。　　其??(qi)二??(er)?，懲??(cheng)罰??(fa)性??(xing)關(guān)??(guan)稅??(shui)政??(zheng)策??(ce)將??(jiang)導(dǎo)??(dao)致??(zhi)全??(quan)球??(qiu)貿(mào)??(mao)易??(yi)成?(cheng)本??(ben)上??(shang)升??(sheng)?，迫??(po)使??(shi)石??(shi)油??(you)貿(mào)??(mao)易??(yi)改??(gai)道??(dao)?，進(jìn)??(jin)一??(yi)步??(bu)加??(jia)劇??(ju)了??(le)國??(guo)際??(ji)油?(you)價??(jia)的??(de)不??(bu)確?(que)定??(ding)性??(xing)??。??美?(mei)國??(guo)對??(dui)進(jìn)??(jin)口??(kou)鋼??(gang)鐵??(tie)和??(he)鋁??(lv)加??(jia)征??(zheng)關(guān)??(guan)稅??(shui)?，增??(zeng)加??(jia)國??(guo)內(nèi)??(nei)石??(shi)油??(you)開??(kai)采?(cai)和??(he)運?(yun)輸??(shu)的??(de)成?(cheng)本??(ben)?，間??(jian)接??(jie)推??(tui)高??(gao)油?(you)價??(jia)??。同?(tong)時??(shi)?，貿(mào)??(mao)易??(yi)摩??(mo)擦??(ca)導(dǎo)??(dao)致??(zhi)的??(de)全??(quan)球??(qiu)經(jīng)??(jing)濟(jì)??(ji)放??(fang)緩??(huan)預(yù)??(yu)期??(qi)?，又??(you)對??(dui)油??(you)價??(jia)形??(xing)成??(cheng)了??(le)下??(xia)行祝(xing)壓??(ya)力??(li)??。這??(zhe)種??(zhong)復(fù)??(fu)雜??(za)的??(de)相??(xiang)互??(hu)作??(zuo)用??(yong)使??(shi)得??(de)國??(guo)際??(ji)油??(you)價??(jia)的??(de)波??(bo)動??(dong)更??(geng)加?(jia)難??(nan)以??(yi)預(yù)??(yu)測??(ce)??。。