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　　三九養(yǎng)生堂記者 鄧肯·蓋伊 報道

精彩|　　針?(zhen)對??(dui)這??(zhe)一??(yi)問??(wen)題??(ti)??，論??(lun)文??(wen)作??(zuo)者??(zhe)、美??(mei)國??(guo)羅??(luo)文?(wen)大??(da)學??(xue)Andra J. Garner分??(fen)析??(xi)了?(le)1970到??(dao)2020年??(nian)間??(jian)每?(mei)一??(yi)次??(ci)大??(da)西??(xi)洋?(yang)颶??(ju)風??(feng)生??(sheng)命??(ming)周??(zhou)期??(qi)內??(nei)的??(de)風??(feng)速?(su)改??(gai)變??(bian)??。??這??(zhe)些??(xie)颶??(ju)風??(feng)被??(bei)分??(fen)為??(wei)三??(san)個??(ge)時??(shi)間??(jian)段??(duan)：歷??(li)史??(shi)期??(qi)(1970-1990)、中??(zhong)間??(jian)期??(qi)(1986-2005)以??(yi)及??(ji)現(xiàn)??(xian)代??(dai)期??(qi)(2001-2020)??。他??(ta)計??(ji)算??(suan)了??(le)颶??(ju)風??(feng)生??(sheng)命??(ming)周??(zhou)期?(qi)里??(li)風??(feng)速??(su)在??(zai)任?(ren)意??(yi)24小??(xiao)時??(shi)里??(li)的??(de)最??(zui)大??(da)增??(zeng)加??(jia)??，以??(yi)確??(que)定??(ding)最??(zui)大??(da)增??(zeng)強??(qiang)率??(lv)??。研??(yan)究??(jiu)發(fā)??(fa)現(xiàn)??(xian)??，颶??(ju)風??(feng)最??(zui)大??(da)增??(zeng)強?(qiang)率??(lv)達??(da)到??(dao)20節(jié)??(jie)(每??(mei)小?(xiao)時??(shi)37公??(gong)里??(li))及??(ji)以??(yi)上??(shang)的??(de)可??(ke)能??(neng)性??(xing)??，從??(cong)歷??(li)史??(shi)期??(qi)的??(de)42.3%增??(zeng)加??(jia)到??(dao)了??(le)現(xiàn)??(xian)代??(dai)期??(qi)的??(de)56.7%??。此??(ci)外??(wai)??，颶?(ju)風??(feng)在??(zai)24小??(xiao)時??(shi)里??(li)從??(cong)較??(jiao)弱??(ruo)增??(zeng)強??(qiang)到??(dao)強??(qiang)烈?(lie)颶??(ju)風??(feng)的??(de)概??(gai)率?(lv)從??(cong)3.23%增?(zeng)加??(jia)到??(dao)了??(le)8.12%???！　≡??(gai)論??(lun)文??(wen)介??(jie)紹??(shao)??，熱??(re)帶??(dai)風??(feng)暴??(bao)或??(huo)颶??(ju)風??(feng)最??(zui)快??(kuai)速??(su)的??(de)增??(zeng)強??(qiang)通??(tong)常??(chang)發(fā)??(fa)生??(sheng)在??(zai)海??(hai)面??(mian)溫??(wen)度??(du)反??(fan)常??(chang)溫?(wen)暖??(nuan)的??(de)區(qū)??(qu)域??(yu)??，風?(feng)暴??(bao)增??(zeng)強??(qiang)率??(lv)的??(de)上??(shang)升??(sheng)與??(yu)氣??(qi)候??(hou)變??(bian)化??(hua)下??(xia)海??(hai)洋?(yang)變??(bian)得??(de)更?(geng)暖??(nuan)有??(you)關??(guan)??，但??(dan)颶??(ju)風??(feng)在??(zai)整??(zheng)個??(ge)大??(da)西??(xi)洋??(yang)盆??(pen)地??(di)的??(de)增??(zeng)強??(qiang)率??(lv)改??(gai)變??(bian)尚??(shang)不??(bu)明??(ming)確??(que)??。??

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