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　　其??(qi)一??(yi)??，貿(mào)??(mao)易?(yi)戰(zhàn)??(zhan)升??(sheng)級?(ji)直??(zhi)接??(jie)影??(ying)響??(xiang)全??(quan)球??(qiu)原??(yuan)油??(you)需?(xu)求??(qiu)預(yù)??(yu)期??(qi)??。??美??(mei)國??(guo)加??(jia)征??(zheng)關(guān)?(guan)稅??(shui)政??(zheng)策??(ce)將??(jiang)在??(zai)很??(hen)大??(da)程??(cheng)度??(du)上??(shang)影??(ying)響??(xiang)世??(shi)界??(jie)經(jīng)?(jing)濟(jì)??(ji)復(fù)??(fu)蘇??(su)增??(zeng)長??(chang)??，并??(bing)且??(qie)有??(you)可??(ke)能??(neng)導(dǎo)??(dao)致?(zhi)美??(mei)經(jīng)??(jing)濟(jì)??(ji)出??(chu)現(xiàn)??(xian)衰??(shuai)退??(tui)??。任??(ren)何??(he)經(jīng)??(jing)濟(jì)??(ji)增??(zeng)長?(chang)放??(fang)緩?(huan)的??(de)預(yù)??(yu)期??(qi)都??(dou)將??(jiang)導(dǎo)??(dao)致??(zhi)市??(shi)場??(chang)對??(dui)原??(yuan)油??(you)需??(xu)求??(qiu)的??(de)擔(dān)??(dan)憂??(you)加??(jia)劇??(ju)??。這??(zhe)種??(zhong)擔(dān)??(dan)憂?(you)反??(fan)映??(ying)在??(zai)國??(guo)際??(ji)油??(you)價(jià)??(jia)上??(shang)??，表??(biao)現(xiàn)??(xian)為??(wei)油??(you)價(jià)??(jia)劇??(ju)烈??(lie)波??(bo)動??(dong)???！　∈?(shi)實(shí)?(shi)上??(shang)?，目??(mu)前??(qian)世??(shi)界??(jie)石?(shi)油??(you)市??(shi)場??(chang)一??(yi)直??(zhi)被??(bei)供??(gong)應(yīng)??(ying)過?(guo)剩??(sheng)、需??(xu)求?(qiu)不??(bu)振??(zhen)所??(suo)困??(kun)擾??(rao)??。??特?(te)朗??(lang)普?(pu)政??(zheng)府??(fu)一??(yi)方??(fang)面??(mian)向??(xiang)歐??(ou)佩??(pei)克??(ke)和??(he)沙?(sha)特??(te)阿??(e)拉??(la)伯??(bo)施??(shi)壓??(ya)?，要??(yao)求??(qiu)后??(hou)者??(zhe)提??(ti)高??(gao)產(chǎn)??(chan)量??(liang)壓??(ya)低??(di)油??(you)價(jià)??(jia)；另??(ling)一??(yi)方??(fang)面??(mian)又??(you)拒??(ju)絕??(jue)補(bǔ)??(bu)充??(chong)庫??(ku)存??(cun)??。美??(mei)能??(neng)源??(yuan)部??(bu)長??(chang)計(jì)??(ji)劃??(hua)與?(yu)國??(guo)會??(hui)合??(he)作??(zuo)取??(qu)消??(xiao)今??(jin)后??(hou)5年??(nian)強(qiáng)??(qiang)制??(zhi)性??(xing)購??(gou)買??(mai)戰(zhàn)??(zhan)略??(lve)石??(shi)油??(you)儲??(chu)備??(bei)的??(de)規(guī)??(gui)定祝(ding)??。此??(ci)外??(wai)?，美??(mei)國??(guo)加??(jia)大??(da)對?(dui)伊??(yi)朗??(lang)極??(ji)限??(xian)制??(zhi)裁??(cai)以??(yi)及??(ji)俄?(e)烏?(wu)沖??(chong)突??(tu)解??(jie)決??(jue)后??(hou)是??(shi)否??(fou)放?(fang)松??(song)對??(dui)俄??(e)能??(neng)源??(yuan)制??(zhi)裁??(cai)等??(deng)都??(dou)是??(shi)未??(wei)知??(zhi)數(shù)??(shu)?，更??(geng)何祝(he)況??(kuang)美??(mei)關(guān)??(guan)稅??(shui)政??(zheng)策??(ce)將?(jiang)直??(zhi)接??(jie)影??(ying)響??(xiang)到?(dao)各??(ge)主?(zhu)要??(yao)經(jīng)??(jing)濟(jì)??(ji)體??(ti)的??(de)能??(neng)源??(yuan)供??(gong)應(yīng)??(ying)及??(ji)需??(xu)求??(qiu)變??(bian)化??(hua)?，市??(shi)場??(chang)短??(duan)期??(qi)風(fēng)??(feng)險(xiǎn)??(xian)是??(shi)顯??(xian)而??(er)易??(yi)見??(jian)的??(de)??。。